John Schindler’s 20 Spy Rules
grugq:
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Intelligence analysts without deep knowledge of the target (language, culture, history) are usually worse than useless.
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If you don’t understand collection, you don’t understand intelligence. Period. No exceptions.
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If you don’t understand the other side’s collection, and what he’s doing to mess up your collection, you’re clueless too.
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You can never have “too many” dots (preferably multi-INT). But make sure they’re real dots, not dots the other side wants you to see.
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If you don’t own the street, the other side will. And soon they will steal your lunch money.
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The best way to protect your secrets is to steal the other side’s.
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The bigger your bureaucracy, the less effective your intelligence system is. No exceptions.
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You can learn tradecraft. You can’t learn common sense. Nor can you “get up to speed” on a problem in a couple weeks.
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ISGINT is the golden source but if the enemy doesn’t understand his own system, neither will you.
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There are no “new” intel ideas. The Russians (or Brits or French or Israelis) have done it already. But you can make ideas better.
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It’s not what you know. It’s not who you know. It’s what you know about who you know.
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Generals like pictures. They will go with IMINT over any other INT even when it’s clearly BS to the trained eye.
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Intelligence services are accurate reflections of their societies. Its not always a pretty picture.
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US intelligence is the world’s BIGDAWG, especially in SIGINT and IMINT, but the bureaucracy is so vast as to undercut too much of that.
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There are two kinds of intelligence service: those with global look/reach and those without. Very few in group 1. Huge difference.
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Good analysts are golden, but there are few of them. And, like academics, they are tough to manage and entitled in outlook.
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One analyst who really knows the target in and out is worth his/her weight in gold. But they’re very rare, and their co-workers hate them.
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If you’re not at least somewhat competent in counterintelligence, why bother having an intel services at all? You’re giving it away.
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If you think counterintelligence is fundamentally about catching traitors/moles, you don’t really understand CI.
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All important intelligence methods have already been perfected by the Russians. We need to figure out how to do them nicely.
Obtained from Business Insider.
Schiller has a blog and is a regular Twitter poster. His handle “XX Committee” comes from the counterintelligence operation run by the British in the UK during WWII. A good book on this operation is available from Amazon.